If the Blackjack Shoe Fits

My blackjack strategy relies heavily on the ebbs and flows of any given shoe.  The key when playing Momentum Blackjack ™ is to maximize the good runs that occur in nearly every shoe and minimize the bad runs that occur in almost every shoe.  At times it might seem that the bad runs outnumber the good, but if you’re playing your strategy right you can outlast most of the rough patches and maximize the upside when the scales tip in your favor.

Random number theory shows that while the basic odds might give you roughly a 50/50 chance of winning any hand or shoe those nearly even splits will often come in bursts of wins or losses rather than in a linear win/loss/win/loss pattern.  Knowing that you’ll hit runs during a shoe makes betting strategy and the use of surrender imperative when trying to maximize your return at the blackjack tables.

I’ve had many examples of the runs going against me and in many cases losing more than I should by going with the amateur gamblers mistaken motto of ‘it has to get better’ when it reality you’re often better cutting your losses and starting over at a new table.  Surrender can help you limit some losses when things are not going your way, but sometimes you have to listen to the Gambler and know when to walk away.

The flip side of the cold shoe is the heater.  You’ll always remember these occasions and for most of us dedicated blackjack players this is what keeps us coming back for more.  There isn’t a much better feeling than when you’re getting cards, turning bad cards into winners, cashing in on doubles and splits, and owning the shoe.  Sadly every visit to the casino I see players get their version of the perfect shoe and make very little money due to poor strategy, bad bet sizing, and lack of recognition.

I’ve had many good shoes in my day, but only a handful that stick out as nearing the ‘perfect’ shoe.  In my most recent case I took a $300 buy-in at a $25 table and turned it into over $1000 in only one shoe.  It was a perfect storm of doubles, good breaks, smart bet sizing, and good old-fashioned luck.  Of course when I have one of these shoes I think about what would have happened if this was a $100 table and how big a win it could have been – your typical gamblers POV – winning was nice, but leave wanting more.

I wish you all the best in finding your perfect shoe and hopefully you are prepared with a strong strategy to cash in when the opportunity comes your way!

 

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Momentum Blackjack ™

My blackjack strategy is fairly straightforward and I’ve coined the term Momentum Blackjack ™.  The basic premise in Momentum Blackjack is that if you combine the use of surrender, smart play with some small variations to the ‘book’, and maximize wager sizing you will give yourself a better chance to walk away from your session ahead of the game.

Component one is using blackjack surrender – I’ll do an upcoming post more fully describing my complete endorsement of surrender, but for the purposes of this post on Momentum Blackjack ™ what you need to know is that surrender is a key piece of the puzzle to keep your losses to a minimum when you have low odds of winning the hand.

The second piece of the puzzle is applying blackjack strategy that doesn’t follow the book.  I’m a fan of the blackjack book in general, especially if you are a beginner and want to know the basics to give yourself a chance to win.  The challenge that almost every dealer will tell you is that this is basic blackjack strategy and anything basic is meant for people who are looking to have a good time and want a simple answer on the question of hit or stay.  I’m not counting cards and my variations to the book are slightly unorthodox at times, but I’ve seen solid results.

The last main part of Momentum Blackjack ™ is wager sizing.  If you bet the same on every hand you will lose money every trip to the casino.  If you raise your bets too high you will give away your winnings too fast on losing hands especially if you’re losing on doubles or splits.  I’ve spent a lot of time on Excel spreadsheets doing the math on bet sizing and how much and how often to raise or lower bet amounts to maximize your potential winnings.

These are the keys to my Momentum Blackjack ™ system that has consistently put me ahead at the casino when I’ve employed it correctly and consistently.  Happy to discuss the details directly with anyone who wants to learn more.