My blackjack strategy relies heavily on the ebbs and flows of any given shoe. The key when playing Momentum Blackjack ™ is to maximize the good runs that occur in nearly every shoe and minimize the bad runs that occur in almost every shoe. At times it might seem that the bad runs outnumber the good, but if you’re playing your strategy right you can outlast most of the rough patches and maximize the upside when the scales tip in your favor.
Random number theory shows that while the basic odds might give you roughly a 50/50 chance of winning any hand or shoe those nearly even splits will often come in bursts of wins or losses rather than in a linear win/loss/win/loss pattern. Knowing that you’ll hit runs during a shoe makes betting strategy and the use of surrender imperative when trying to maximize your return at the blackjack tables.
I’ve had many examples of the runs going against me and in many cases losing more than I should by going with the amateur gamblers mistaken motto of ‘it has to get better’ when it reality you’re often better cutting your losses and starting over at a new table. Surrender can help you limit some losses when things are not going your way, but sometimes you have to listen to the Gambler and know when to walk away.
The flip side of the cold shoe is the heater. You’ll always remember these occasions and for most of us dedicated blackjack players this is what keeps us coming back for more. There isn’t a much better feeling than when you’re getting cards, turning bad cards into winners, cashing in on doubles and splits, and owning the shoe. Sadly every visit to the casino I see players get their version of the perfect shoe and make very little money due to poor strategy, bad bet sizing, and lack of recognition.
I’ve had many good shoes in my day, but only a handful that stick out as nearing the ‘perfect’ shoe. In my most recent case I took a $300 buy-in at a $25 table and turned it into over $1000 in only one shoe. It was a perfect storm of doubles, good breaks, smart bet sizing, and good old-fashioned luck. Of course when I have one of these shoes I think about what would have happened if this was a $100 table and how big a win it could have been – your typical gamblers POV – winning was nice, but leave wanting more.
I wish you all the best in finding your perfect shoe and hopefully you are prepared with a strong strategy to cash in when the opportunity comes your way!